As an analyst, I try to distance myself from this conflict because I'm here to comment on how well teams execute this strategy and only occasionally point out that the rules that make it viable are problematic. As a fan, I also know it's infuriating to watch it happen in slow motion. As a type-A, finance-majoring baseball fan, I know it's the most effective and efficient way to turn a not-very-good team into a potential force. I mention in the Pirates blurb below that I'm conflicted about the concept of the modern teardown rebuild. (55 players ranked, 16 better than 40 FV) This gives you the tools to see exactly how close every team is and a more granular view of what their players are like, according to the other 29 teams. One benefit of this approach is that you can use your own judgment to disagree with a ranking if, say, a team has $500,000 more talent but the lower-ranked team has talent of the sort you prefer. If you want to be even more specific, players in the top half of the top 100 are almost never traded these days, so "tradable players" would be this "above 40 FV" number, minus the players in the top 50 of the overall list. The list of 40 FV players differs depending on which team you're talking to, but above that tier the takes tend to be more similar and the trade value more universal. So, I've found that the number of players above that 40 FV cutoff is a good measure of quality depth of a system, or the number of players almost every team would want in a deal. You can't offer five of that tier of player and get a good big leaguer, but once you go above that tier you probably can accomplish that. The idea is that a 40 FV is a tier of player every team has a number of, so in any trade they are seen as common. The part I've added this year is the number of players better than a 40 FV along with total players ranked who I believe have trade value.
In short, while at FanGraphs, research by Craig Edwards (who now works for the MLB Players Association) revealed empirical surplus dollar values for each future value tier of prospect, so we can now make an objective ranking of farm systems derived from my individual team lists, which have been completed and will be published soon. I've always found it both overwhelming and too subjective to line up 30 lists of players and say this list is better than that one with any certainty, since the process of ranking them is already pretty subjective and over 1,000 players/data points are too many for one brain to effectively consider.Įnter science! These rankings of all 30 organizations were done, for the most part, the same way as last year's version.
Louis Cardinals, Tampa Bay Rays, Texas Rangers, Toronto Blue Jays, Washington NationalsĪfter ranking the top 100 prospects heading into the 2022 MLB season, it's time to turn our attention to each team's farm system as a whole. MLB, Arizona Diamondbacks, Atlanta Braves, Baltimore Orioles, Boston Red Sox, Chicago Cubs, Chicago White Sox, Cincinnati Reds, Cleveland Guardians, Colorado Rockies, Detroit Tigers, Houston Astros, Kansas City Royals, Los Angeles Angels, Los Angeles Dodgers, Miami Marlins, Milwaukee Brewers, Minnesota Twins, New York Mets, New York Yankees, Oakland Athletics, Philadelphia Phillies, Pittsburgh Pirates, San Diego Padres, San Francisco Giants, Seattle Mariners, St. Kiley McDaniel's 2022 MLB farm system rankings for all 30 teams
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